Trgovinski rat se zahuktava: Trump pokreće uvođenje tarifa na 100 milijardi USD kineskog uvoza

Xinhua upravo javlja da je Amerika izgubila zdrav razum u trgovinskim poslovima, ali, mislim da Trump u sebi ima odgovor na to, "s vjerom u Krista protiv komunista".

Carinske mjere što se tiče aluminija važe za sve, osim Kanade i Meksika, za sada, a ne samo za Kinu. Dodatno, bilo kakva trgovina sa "Rusal" je zabranjena, kao dodatna mjera. Imperator Donald I radi, ako može, upravo ono što je obećao. Trgovinski deficit sa Kinom jednak je trgovinskom deficitu sa ostalim svijetom. Kako rekoh, "ne budete vi mene žmikali".

Pa normalno da Trump se pokušava izvući iz "gliba" zvanog SAD deficit prema Kini koji 2017 iznosio 375 bilijuna $, tako da su ovo mjere očajnika, ali ni s druge strane Kina ne želi izgubiti najunosnije i lukrativno tržište pa stoga ne provodi radikalne kontra-mjere niti ikakav vid "odmazde".
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Evo znanimljivog članka : "Causes of the Trade Deficit
China can produce many consumer goods for lower costs than other countries can. Americans of course want these goods for the lowest prices. How does China keep prices so low? Most economists agree that China's competitive pricing is a result of two factors:

A lower standard of living, which allows companies in China to pay lower wages to workers.
An exchange rate that is partially fixed to the dollar.
That means many American companies can't compete with China's low costs. As a result, U.S. manufacturing jobs are lost. From time to time, legislators try to impose tariffs or other forms of trade protectionism against China to bring jobs back.

If the United States implemented trade protectionism, U.S. consumers would have to pay high prices for their "Made in America" goods. That's why it's unlikely that the trade deficit will change. Most people would rather pay as little as possible for computers, electronics and clothing, even if it means other Americans lose their jobs.

China is the world's largest economy. It also has the world's biggest population. That means it must divide its production between almost 1.4 billion residents. A common way to measure standard of living is gross domestic product per capita. In 2017, China’s GDP per capita was $16,600. China's leaders are desperately trying to get the economy to grow faster to raise the country’s living standards.

They remember Mao's Cultural Revolution all too well. They know that the Chinese people won't accept a lower standard of living forever.

China sets the value of its currency, the yuan, to equal the value of a basket of currencies that includes the dollar. In other words, China pegs its currency to the dollar using a modified fixed exchange rate. When the dollar loses value, China buys dollars through U.S. Treasurys to support it. In 2016, China began relaxing its peg. It wants market forces to have a greater impact on the yuan's value. As a result, the dollar to yuan conversion has been more volatile since then. China's influence on the dollar remains substantial.

How It Affects the U.S. Economy
China must buy so many U.S. Treasury notes that it is the largest lender to the U.S. government. Japan is the second largest. As of January 2018, the U.S. debt to China was $1.17 trillion. That's 19 percent of the total public debt owned by foreign countries. Many are concerned that this gives China political leverage over U.S. fiscal policy. They worry about what would happen if it threatened to call in its loan.

By buying Treasurys, China helped keep U.S. interest rates low. That helped fuel the U.S.

housing boom, which lead to the subprime mortgage crisis. If China were to stop buying Treasurys, interest rates would rise. That could throw the United States and the world into recession. But this wouldn’t be in China's best interests, as U.S. shoppers would buy fewer Chinese exports. In fact, China is buying almost as many Treasurys as ever.

U.S. companies that can't compete with cheap Chinese goods must either lower their costs or go out of business. Many businesses reduce their costs by outsourcing jobs to China or India, which adds to U.S. unemployment. Other industries have just dried up. U.S. manufacturing, as measured by the number of jobs, declined 34 percent between 1998 and 2010. As these industries declined, so has U.S. competitiveness in the global marketplace.

What's Being Done
President Donald Trump promised to lower the trade deficit with China.

On March 1, 2018, he announced he would impose a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum. The tariff will raise the costs of imported steel, which are primarily from China. Its economy depends heavily on steel exports. Trump's move comes a month after he imposed tariffs and quotas on imported solar panels and washing machines. China has become a global leader in solar panel production. The stock market fell, as analysts worried Trump's actions might start a trade war.

The Trump administration is developing further anti-China protectionist measures. It may impose tariffs on $30 billion of Chinese imports. It wants China to remove requirements that U.S. companies transfer technology to Chinese firms. China requires companies to do this to gain access to China's market.

Trump also asked China to do more to raise its currency. He claims that China artificially undervalues the yuan by 15 percent to 40 percent. That was true in 2000. But former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson initiated the U.S.-China Strategic Economic Dialogue in 2006. He convinced the People's Bank of China to strengthen the yuan's value against the dollar. It increased 2-3 percent annually between 2000 and 2013. U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew continued the dialogue during the Obama administration. The Trump administration continued the talks until they stalled in July 2017.

The dollar strengthened 25 percent in 2014 and 2015. It took the Chinese yuan with it. China had to lower costs even more to compete with Southeast Asian companies. That's why the PBOC tried unpegging the yuan from the dollar in 2015. The yuan immediately plummeted. That indicated that the yuan was overvalued. If the yuan were undervalued, as Trump claims, it would have risen instead. "

markus,
Slazem se s tobom..
Rekao si sve u sred sride.
Mislim da se Rusija čak kreće u tom pravcu,koji sam navodis..
Do duse,mozda bi to moglo ići malo i brze,ali bas te stvari koje navodis,poprilično usporavaju taj proces.
Ali,polako.....sve će doći na svoje...tiha voda bregove nosi.
Zapravo,kako se čini,sve ove sankcije koje zapad uvodi Rusiji,na duge staze postaju kotraproduktivne samom zapadu...vremenom će to shvatiti,a kad shvate,Rusija će već uveliko biti na balkonu sa najboljom i najpreglednijom pozicijom.
Ako se ne omete u tome nekom vrlo radikalnom promjenom,no na takvu vrstu promjene ne moze niko utjecati...
Radikalna promjena situacije je veliki rat.
No,kao sto vidimo,i za tu soluciju,koja je neprihvatljiva za svakog normalnog čovjeka,Rusija se ubrzano priprema jer drugog izbora nema...
Koliko ta trka u ojačavanju same odbrane Rusije,usporava Rusiju u svemu tome sto ti navodis,tesko je moći procijeniti,ali odbrana je u svakom slučaju prioritet br.1,tako da u prkos svega,Rusi su svjesni svega i navikli su na odricanja...
Vrijeme će pokazati koliko će uspijeti u tim nakanama.
Putin je već nagovijestio da mu je sledeći prioritet,pored već postignutih tehnoloskih rezultata u naoruzanju,smanjenje siromastva u Rusiji.
Ako su mu ekipe za osmisljavanje proizvodnje hrane u pola sposobni kao inzinjeri za naoruzanje,tad ne treba sumnjati u bolje sutra,kad je Rusija u pitanju,pod uslovom da Rusija ipak ne bude napadnuta.
Pozdrav!!!

Šalu na stranu,ovo nije ništa novo! SAD je i u prošlosti to radio,A. Hamilton je britancima zveknuo porez kad su mu oni predložili da dvije zemlje trguju prema komparativnim prednostima,što bi za taj period značilo da će amerikanci hvatati i prodavati dabrove a britanci puške i najbolji štof! E kad su amerikanci "narasli" otvorili su svoja vrata i rekli hajmo sad da trgujemo i proklamovali otvoreno tržište-isto što i kinezi rade! To je jedan od razloga,prema mom mišljenju zašto kinezi ne odgovaraju žešće-jer im trenutno odgovara!

Ali činjenica je da je dio američke industrije prebačen u Kinu radi jeftine radne snage.
i da Kina u svemu tome, nedozvoljeno kopirajući i licencirane američke proizvode, zaradila extraprofit.
Radnici u USA ,pogotovo metalurgija, ostali su bez posla ali za utjehu kupuju jeftinu kinesku robu.
Tome je morao doći kraj, Trump ako se u išta razumije onda su to financije i trgovina.Trgovinski rat je loš ali on će završiti na nekom novom nivou, Kina će popustiti.

@ Nera, ..za Rusiju bi bila najbolja dva scenarija, prvi da pohapsi one oligarhe ( citaj, lopove i mafijase, vecinom pripadnike "bozjeg" naroda) i da ih natera da sav novac koji su pokrali, tj. iznjeli u Englesku vrate nazad u Rusiju i da najmanje 90% investira u recimo, ekonomiju. Dakle, prvo pare pa onda sloboda.
Drugo, da Rusi pocnu napokon svrsishodno da koriste ono sto imaju,a imaju ogromno bogatstvo i prostranstvo, a uvoz i ovisnost o uvozu svesti na nekakav minimum, kao sa psenicom prije. Znaci mogu kada ih zlo natjera od uvoznika psenice postati najveci izvoznik. Dakle mogu jer imaju "resurse", samo da se adekvatno tome i potrude pa onda neka sa balkona gledaju duel Amerika (zapad) i Kina i onda neka poentiraju gdje god mogu. Sto su tice EU mislim da si tu potpuno u pravu. Lp!

Trump nije bas tolika budala da u ovo krene sam. Iza ovoga se krije neki dublji i opasniji plan.

Gdje je sada medijska jadikovka o slobodi tržišta i međunarodni i monetarni pritisak.

Jači nameće uvjete koji njemu odgovaraju kada njemu odgovara. Dok mu je odgovaralo otvoreno tržište nametano je otvoreno tržište i onima koji ga nisu htjeli a kada mu ne paše promjeni pravila i zatvori svoje tržište.

Nije da i prije nije bilo zatvoreno ali prikriveno.

Lijepo....
Ovaj rat će jos vise zbliziti Rusiju i Kinu...
Trump će na kraju biti samo sa Engleskom.
Ovo će natjerati EU da,ako imalo pameti ima,počne razmisljati sopstvenom glavom,a ne samo slusati...
Kazem,ako imalo pameti ima,samo nisam u to previse siguran.
Rusiji je samo preostalo da sa balkona posmatra ovu pozornicu i uziva u spektaklu.
Sva pogubnost i glupost poltronske politike EU mogla bi doći brze nego se mislilo,IZAĆI NA VIDJELO..
To bi moglo značiti da će za EU doći vrijeme kad neće biti moguće pronaći neki srednji put...ili totalni poslusnici,ili totalni NE poslusnici...
Ovo drugo,NE VJERUJEM.
Ako bude ovo prvo,u sto prije vjerujem,EU će imati ubrzanje prema unutrasnjoj krizi zbog očevidne ljigavosti vlastitih lidera....
Ipak,ljigavci će se odrzati na vlasti,jer su radikalne promjene u postojećem sistemu gotovo nemoguće,jer sistem blokira te radikalne promjene..
Revolucijom se mogu postići te promjene,ali mase nisu ni za kakve revolucije....
I ako su mase izgubile mnoge privilegije,jos uvijek imaju dovoljno da budu uljuljkani.
Dakle,suma sumarum,ovim ratom bi najvise mogla profitirati Rusija.

Ništa zato,kinezi će odgovoriti sa uvođenjem tarifa na 4 litre viskija i 3 H.D. motora 😂